Studies of the psychology of hindsight have shown that reporting the outcome of a historical event increases the perceived likelihood of that outcome. Three experiments with a total of 463 paid volunteers show that similar hindsight effects occur when people evaluate the predictability of scientific results—they tend to believe they “knew all along” what the …
Tag Archives: Outcome
Zauberman, G., &Lynch, J. G., Jr. (2005). Resource Slack and Propensity to Discount Delayed Investments of Time Versus Money.
The authors demonstrate that people discount delayed outcomes as a result of perceived changes over time in supplies of slack. Slack is the perceived surplus of a given resource available to complete a focal task. The present research shows that, in general, people expect slack for time to be greater in the future than in …
Brockner, J., &Wiesenfeld, B. M. (1996). An integrative framework for explaining reactions to decisions: interactive effects of outcomes and procedures.
The authors suggest that procedural and distributive factors interactively combine to influence individuals’ reactions to their encounters with other people, groups, and organizations. Results from 45 independent samples (reviewed herein) show that (1) level of procedural justice is more positively related to individuals’ reactions when outcome fairness or valence is relatively low and (2) …
Ruby, M. B., Dunn, E. W., Perrino, A., Gillis, R., &Viel, S. (2011). The invisible benefits of exercise. Health Psychology, 30(1), 67-74.
Objective: To examine whether—and why—people underestimate how much they enjoy exercise. Design: Across four studies, 279 adults predicted how much they would enjoy exercising, or reported their actual feelings after exercising. Main Outcome Measures: Main outcome measures were predicted and actual enjoyment ratings of exercise routines, as well as intention to exercise. Results: Participants significantly …